Service Plays Wednesday 08/19/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 19

NATIONAL LEAGUE

St. Louis (68-53) at L.A. Dodgers (71-49)

The Dodgers look to make it two in a row when they send Clayton Kershaw (8-7, 2.91 ERA) to the mound in the rubber match of a three-game series against the Cardinals and red-hot Adam Wainwright (14-7, 2.62).

Los Angeles followed up Monday’s 3-2 defeat to St. Louis with a 7-3 pounding last night, ending their four-game home losing streak and the Cardinals’ five-game overall win streak. The Dodgers are 61-27 in their last 80 games as a home favorite, but most recently, they’re still mired in slumps of 4-7 overall, 3-6 against the N.L. Central and 3-6 versus right-handed starters.

Even with Tuesday’s loss, St. Louis is still 9-2 in its last 11 overall and is on additional upticks of 4-1 on the road, 8-2 against the N.L. West (4-1 last five) and 8-1 against left-handed starters. However, the Cardinals have now dropped eight of their last 11 as an underdog.

St. Louis continues to own this rivalry, having won 38 of the last 56 meetings overall, including nine of the last 13 in Los Angeles. This year, the Cards are 4-2 against L.A.

Wainwright pitched eight scoreless innings in Friday’s 9-2 home rout of the Padres, and he’s not only delivered 10 consecutive quality starts, he’s held all 10 of those opponents to two earned runs or fewer. Since the start of July, the right-hander is 6-2 with a 1.21 ERA in nine outings, including 4-0 with a 1.24 ERA in four road starts. For the season, he’s 9-1 with a 3.41 ERA in 11 starts as a visitor.

With Wainwright pitching, the Cardinals are on a slew of lengthy hot streaks, including 38-16 overall, 25-10 on the road, 18-5 as an underdog, 9-0 as a road underdog, 24-3 versus winning teams and 6-0 on Wednesday. Against the Dodgers, he’s 2-2 with a 3.26 ERA in seven games (four starts), including a 10-0 home win on July 28.

Kershaw is coming off Friday’s 4-1 loss at Arizona as he allowed all four runs in 4 1/3 innings. The Dodgers have lost five straight games behind Kershaw after going 7-0 in his previous seven starts. However, L.A. is 12-5 in Kershaw’s last 17 as a home favorite and 7-3 in his last 10 against the N.L. Central.

Despite a 1.86 ERA, Kershaw is just 3-3 in 13 home starts, with the Dodgers going 7-6. Kershaw dominated St. Louis back on July 29, pitching eight scoreless innings at Busch Stadium, and he left with a 1-0 lead but Dodgers closer Jonathan Broxton blew the save and L.A. eventually lost 3-2 in 15 innings. In three career starts versus the Cardinals, Kershaw has allowed just three runs in 21 innings (1.29 ERA).

For the Cardinals, the “over” is on runs of 7-3-3 overall, 6-1-2 on the road, 4-0-1 against lefty starters, 10-3-2 in Wainwright’s last 15 road outings and 7-1-1 in his last nine as an underdog. However, the under is 5-0-1 in St. Louis’ last six Wednesday contests, 9-5 in its last 14 against the N.L. West and 7-2-1 in Wainwright’s last 10 starts overall.

The over is 10-4-1 in L.A.’s last 15 home games, but otherwise the team is on “under” surges of 4-1-1 on Wednesday and 6-2 when Kershaw is favored. Finally, the under is 8-4 in the last 12 overall meetings in this rivalry, including 4-1 at Dodger Stadium.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE



AMERICAN LEAGUE


Boston (67-51) at Toronto (55-62)

The Blue Jays try to halt a three-game losing skid when they send ace Roy Halladay (13-5, 2.65 ERA) to the hill opposite the Red Sox and Clay Buchholz (1-3, 4.45) as these rivals resume their three-game series continues at the Rogers Centre.

Boston overcame one of Josh Beckett’s worst performances of the season and outlasted the Blue Jays 10-9 in Tuesday’s series opener. However, the Sox are still just 5-9 in their last 14 games overall, including 2-8 on the road, and they’re on further slides of 1-10 as an underdog (0-9 as a road pup) and 1-6 against the A.L. East.

Toronto has lost two in row, four of five and 10 of 16 overall, going 2-4 at home during this stretch. The Blue Jays are in additional slumps of 6-13 as a favorite, 1-5 against the A.L. East and 1-4 on Wednesday.

Boston holds a slim 6-4 edge in the season series with Toronto, but the home team is still 7-3. Prior to Tuesday, the losing team had scored three runs or fewer in the first nine meetings between these squads.

Buchholz is coming off his first two quality starts in more than a year, giving up a total of four runs (three earned) in 13 innings against the Yankees (road) and Tigers (home). However, he got zero offensive support, losing 5-0 to New York star CC Sabathia and 2-0 to Detroit ace Justin Verlander. The Red Sox are now 5-17 in Buchholz’s last 22 starts overall, 3-12 in his last 15 on the road, 1-5 in his last six on Wednesday and 3-8 in his last 11 versus the A.L. East.

Buchholz beat the Blue Jays 4-1 in Toronto in his first big-league start of the season July 17, allowing the single run on four hits in 5 2/3 innings as he improved to 1-2 with a 3.31 ERA in four career games (three starts) against the Jays.. However, he’s just 1-2 with a 5.95 ERA in four road starts in 2009.

Halladay is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA in his last two starts, pitching eight innings each against the Orioles (7-3 home win) and Rays (5-2 road victory). The veteran right-hander has gone at least seven innings in eight straight starts and he’s 8-3 with a 2.57 ERA in 13 home efforts, including five complete games. Behind their former Cy Young winner, the Blue Jays are on positive runs of 56-19 at home, 48-22 against divisional rivals, 111-52 as a favorite and 7-2 in when he faces the Red Sox in Canada.

Halladay has been mediocre versus the Red Sox in his career, going 13-12 with a 4.33 ERA in 38 lifetime appearances (35 starts). However, that includes a complete-game 3-1 home win on July 19, with Halladay scattering six hits while striking out seven. He has a 1.82 ERA in his last five starts versus Boston going back to last April.

Despite last night’s shootout, the Blue Jays are on “under” runs of 12-6-3 at home, 14-7-1 against the A.L. East and 6-1 against right-handed starters. Also, with Halladay pitching, the “under” is on streaks of 5-1-1 overall, 5-0-1 against winning teams and 4-1 versus Boston. Similarly, the Red Sox carry “under” trends of 5-2 on the road, 10-5-1 against A.L. East competition, 20-7-2 as an underdog and 16-5 as a road pup.

Finally, the under is still 6-2 in the last eight meetings overall in this rivalry, all in Toronto

ATS ADVANTAGE: TORONTO and UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
61-32 run Bonus Plays 8-3 last 11

Wed KC Royals

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Red Sox Tuesday night.

Today it's the Twins. The surplus is 1,100 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

August 19, 2009

Hondo went to the Card well once too often as he lost in L.A. last night to stop the winning streak at six and increase the debt to 220 cardwells.

Tonight, The Good Weaver gets a chance to get back on Mr. Aitch's good side -- 10 units on the Angels over the Native Americans.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR WEDNESDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


Seattle (Snell)

DETROIT (VERLANDER) -300 (1)


COLORADO (MARQUIS) -170 (2)

Washington (Balester)


Baltimore (Tillman)

TAMPA BAY (NIEMANN) -235 (3)


RUN TOTALS

Yankees / Oakland OVER 9

Boston / Toronto UNDER 7 ½

Minnesota / Texas UNDER 9

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA LONG SHEET


Wednesday, August 19

NEW YORK (9 - 15) at CONNECTICUT (12 - 11) - 8/19/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW YORK is 119-88 ATS (+22.2 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
NEW YORK is 63-40 ATS (+19.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
NEW YORK is 40-22 ATS (+15.8 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games since 1997.
CONNECTICUT is 21-35 ATS (-17.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 8-3 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
CONNECTICUT is 6-5 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
8 of 11 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (11 - 13) at LOS ANGELES (9 - 13) - 8/19/2009, 10:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-4 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
LOS ANGELES is 5-4 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

New York Liberty at Connecticut Sun (-5, 143.5)

Looking for their seventh straight playoff berth, the Sun will be without All-Star forward Asjha Jones for at least two weeks.

Jones, Connecticut's leading scorer at 16.7 points and second-leading rebounder at 5.9 boards, scored 23 points in Friday's double-overtime loss at Washington but on Monday was diagnosed with recurring soreness in her left Achilles tendon.

Stepping in for Jones probably will be Tamika Whitmore, who has managed just 10 points and four rebounds in 30 minutes over three games since returning from a 10-game absence due to a knee injury. She is averaging 6.2 points and 2.6 rebonds.

The Liberty have covered four straight as road underdogs, including three straight-up wins. The teams play again in New York on Friday.

Pick: New York


Minnesota Lynx at Los Angeles Sparks (-5, 152)

It is impossible to figure out the Sparks.

In their last five games, the Sparks have notched home wins over Seattle and Indiana, two of the best teams in the WNBA, for their first winning streak of the season; followed that with home losses to New York and Sacramento, the two worst teams in the WNBA; and followed that by going to Sacramento and rolling to a 78-61 victory Saturday.

During that five-game stretch, Los Angeles averaged 74.4 points. In its three prior games, it averaged 60.3.

Next up are the Lynx, whom the Sparks beat in Minnesota on July 28. The Lynx have lost three in a row straight up and against the spread.

Pick: Minnesota

 

[cork999]

Tony Weston
WEDNESDAY'S PLAYS 15 Dime Angels
5 Dime Cardinals

Analysis by 2:30 p.m. ET


BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED -----------GL GUYS

I HAVE A FEW MEETINGS TODAY, I WILL BE BACK LATER------CORK

 

[Born2Booze]

Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

LA Angels at Cleveland

The Angels look to take advantage of a Cleveland team that is 0-6 in Jeremy Sowers' last 6 home starts against teams with a winning record. LA is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Angels favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-135). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 19

Game 901-902: Arizona at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Haren) 15.575; Philadelphia (Lee) 15.108
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-175); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+165); Under
Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 13.548; Pittsburgh (Maholm) 14.768
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+160); Over
Game 905-906: Colorado at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Marquis) 17.124; Washington (Balester) 15.681
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-170); Over
Game 907-908: San Francisco at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 15.384; Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.691
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+110); Over
Game 909-910: Atlanta at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Jurrjens) 15.636; NY Mets (Parnell) 14.747
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-170); 8
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-170); Over
Game 911-912: Florida at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (West) 14.869; Houston (Bazardo) 15.322
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Florida (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+110); Under
Game 913-914: Chicago Cubs at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Harden) 14.374; San Diego (Latos) 13.491
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-150); Under
Game 915-916: St. Louis at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.530; LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.286
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+115); Over
Game 917-918: Kansas City at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Greinke) 14.765; White Sox (Contreras) 15.167
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+130); Over
Game 919-920: LA Angels at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Weaver) 17.221; Cleveland (Sowers) 16.119
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 11
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-135); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-135); Over
Game 921-922: Boston at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 14.489; Toronto (Halladay) 15.564
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Toronto (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-160); Under
Game 923-924: Baltimore at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Tillman) 14.126; Tampa Bay (Niemann) 15.164
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-235); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-235); Under
Game 925-926: Seattle at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Snell) 15.071; Detroit (Verlander) 16.246
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-300); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-300); Under
Game 927-928: Minnesota at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 15.556; Texas (Millwood) 15.979
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Texas (-140); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-140); Over
Game 929-930: NY Yankees at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Gaudin) 15.335; Oakland (Anderson) 15.929
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+115); Under



WNBA Basketball Picks

Minnesota at Los Angeles

The Lynx look to take advantage of a Los Angeles team playing back-to-back nights and is just 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games following a SU win.. Minnesota is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by 4 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+5). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, AUGUST 19

Game 601-602: New York at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: New York 110.214; Connecticut 113.991
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 4; 133 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 5 1/2; 144
Dunkel Pick: New York (+5 1/2); Under
Game 603-604: Minnesota at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 108.737; Los Angeles 113.040
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 4 1/2; 163 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 5; 151
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+5); Over
<!-- / message -->

 

[Born2Booze]

Twitter sports picks

CWS ML +125

CLEV ML +115

TEXAS U9 +101

 

[SqueezetheJuice]

Premium Horses:

DELAWARE PARK Race #1 at 1:15 PM Eastern


Top pick: #7 (LIGER) - Runs first off a Scott Lake claim and that's always a nice winning angle (27%). Doesn't have much speed but he's faced better his whole career. Claimed out of his best effort since last fall, they may have gotten him at the right time.
2nd pick: #3 (James Wilfred) - Makes his first start outside of Florida and brings a nice closing kick to the party. Goes from a very low percentage barn to that of Steve Klesaris. Stretch threat.
3rd pick: #2 (Fayregammo) - Colt returns from a very long absence (16 months) and has a lot of back class. He's in a good barn (Larry Jones) and his works are solid. He faces other speed but his back class and the drop into a claimer makes him very dangerous.

DELAWARE PARK Race #5 at 3:05 PM Eastern

Top pick: #2 (UNSTOPPABLE FORCE) - Races today at a career low in price. "Ridgling" has many solid tries vs. tougher over the past year and will stretch-out again today off a pair of sprint efforts at Philly Park. The horse to beat.
2nd pick: #4 (Nicut Coyote) - Gelding has been showing some life (more speed) in his last pair and his trainer (Ron Moquette) will send him around two-turns today. Gelding by "Fusaici Pegasus" is bred for the extra distance and believe he'll run well.
3rd pick: #1 (Across) - Interesting runner goes turf to dirt and his last pair at Colonial have shown a lot of improvement. Has the rail, is in a good barn (Graham Motion) and is a win candidate.

DELAWARE PARK Race #7 at 3:55 PM Eastern

Top pick: #6 (CHEROKEE EMPIRE) - Has good speed, is improving, and his trainer (Graham Motion) will send him around two-turns this afternoon. Colt is bred for the distance and has a sharp work on August 15. The top pick.
2nd pick: #4 (Our Commander) - Gelding showed major improvement in his second start and his last two works at his home-base of Laurel are very fast. His trainer (Gary Capuano) is strong on the stretch-out move (31%).
3rd pick: #5 (Hudson Steele) - Decent debut saw this colt from the Pletcher barn race wide and finished with interest. Trainer won a two-year-old race earlier in the meet with a runner being sent around two-turns for the first time.
4th pick: #1 (Mr. Bristol) - He closed in his debut sprinting and colt by "Gone West" will try his luck going an extra 2 1/2 furlongs today. His trainer (Neil Howard) has always specialized in distance racing.

DELAWARE PARK Race #8 at 4:25 PM Eastern

Top pick: #1 (TAKE DOWN TWO) - Front-runner "dueld" and tired here July 28 in his first race in two months. Claimed that day for $12,500 by Shelliane Brown she runs him back in less than three weeks with a slight raise in price. Has ths rail and the best speed. The top pick, and at a nice price.
2nd pick: #6 (On Deck) - One of a pair of three-year-olds signed-up and he appears to be the more talented one. Gelding by "Grand Slam" broke his maiden at Tampa on December 31 and did not run again until July 7. He showed some good late kick that day and will attempt a two-turn race for the first time today. Nice works are on view. Major player.
3rd pick: #2 (Ferentz) - He's improved dramatically since a claim by Cody Autry in mid-January at the Fair Grounds. Has a flexible style and he's a win candidate.
4th pick: #4 (Biohazzard) - Has some late kick and has raced against some tough fields of late. Player in the exotics at a square price.

 

[steelers7]

Fazzini

Wednesday's play 15 Dime -- Braves (Jurrjens) -1 1/2 runs over METS (Parnell)

BRAVES
NOTE: List only Jurrjens as Atlanta's starting pitcher

Jair Jurrjens (9-8, 2.99 ERA) is one of the main reasons the Braves have been able to remain in the hunt for a playoff berth.

The right-hander has pitched better than his record indicates, however, and his last start was indicative of that, as he allowed two runs and five hits in seven innings Friday in a no-decision against Philadelphia.

Jurrjens has had good success vs. the Mets, however, going 3-1 with a 2.84 ERA in five career starts against New York. He gave up just two hits in six scoreless innings on July 17 in his last outing against the NL East rivals.

Bobby Parnell (3-4, 3.50) will make his third straight start for the Mets after 54 relief appearances. The right-hander allowed three hits in six scoreless innings Friday against San Francisco.

Parnell has pitched 4 2/3 scoreless innings in seven relief outings vs. Atlanta this season.

With New York's lineup being depleted of most of its real offensive threats, I just can't see the Mets scoring many runs today against Jurrjens. Take the Braves on the run line in this one.

 

[Born2Booze]

destroy the book sports

10*brewers-160
10*atlanta-176
7*twins+121
7*cws+123
5*reds-111
5*col/wash over 9.5

pd.and confirmed

 

[zags]

st bernadine sports early plays

from another site

big time 12-2 run - cws/kc o-8.5
abats computer simulator - white sox +125

lillefty(paid and confirmed by me)
2* Kansas city

good luck to everyone on their bets!!

no other plays posted yet!!

 

[jnc750]

Anthony Redd

Wednesday's Card
5 Dime Diamondbacks-Phillies Under

 

[Deathknight7]

Chris Jordans 3 small picks for today

Run Line Winners ...
100♦ PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES RUN LINE (WITH Lee for sure going for Philly) - Point blank, I’m not ignoring the Cliff Lee revival in the City of Brotherly Love. He is in after eight strong innings against the Cubs at Wrigley Field last Thursday, when Lee allowed six hits, one run and three walks while striking out eight. Since moving over to the National League from the Indians, the Cy Young southpaw is 3-0 with a 1.13 ERA in three starts for the Phillies.

He’s dominated foes, allowing 16 hits, three runs and six walks in 24 innings. He’s fanned 24 batters and opponents are hitting a bleak .193 against him. Here’s the irony, last season CC Sabathia was traded to Milwaukee, he went 3-0 with a 1.88 ERA in his first three starts. He allowed 17 hits, six runs, five earned runs, one home run and six walks in 24 innings. He struck out 24 and opponents hit .205 against him. It must be a trade-thing, cause it’s working, and the Phils are this year’s beneficiary. Lay the run line, as Arizona gets nowhere and the Phils roll.

100♦ TAMPA BAY RAYS RUN LINE (WITH Niemann for sure going for Tampa) - I’ll bank on the defending American League champions tonight, as Jeff Niemann will be looking to turn things around as he comes in off another four-run outing as he was tagged for four runs in 5-1/3 innings in a no-decision against the Angels last Wednesday. He started the month of August surrendering just one run over eight innings to the Royals at the start of August, but the right-handed rookie has now given up four runs in back-to-back outings, and has a 6.17 ERA in those two starts.

I’ve watched the 26-year-old pitch, and he’s going to dominate the Orioles once again. He’s pretty familiar with the O’s, as this will be Niemann's fifth game – his fourth start - of his career against them -- the team he's faced the most; he's 3-1 with a 5.30 ERA against. Okay, so I don’t necessarily like the ERA, but I think I’ll be okay against Baltimore starter Chris Tillman. Lay the run line tonight for a blowout win.

100♦ TORONTO BLUE JAYS RUN LINE (WITH Halladay for sure going for Toronto) - Having settled back down since the trading deadline, Roy Halladay appears to be back to his old self again. He’s in off a Halladay-like dominating performance on Friday night, when he held the aforementioned Rays to a meager one earned run over eight innings for his second successive win. It also marked the Major League-leading 21st time in 23 starts this season the former Cy Young winner and 2009 candidate has logged at least seven frames.

Over his past two starts, the 32-year-old veteran is 2-0 with a 1.69 ERA. Though he was 1-4 with a 3.16 ERA in his previous eight trips to the mound, he’s shed those doldrums and will come in with plenty of confidence in facing the Red Sox. In his lone start this season against Boston on July 19, Halladay turned in a complete-game victory.

It might be pricey to lay a run line against this team, but with Clay Buchholz on the hill, the Jays should have no trouble getting some runs in my opinion. They’re in revenge, as his first start in his return to the rotation was here in Rogers Centre, on July 17. He stifled them to one earned run over 5-2/3 innings and scattered just four hits for the win. The tide turns tonight. Lay the run line.


Confirmed by me. Good Luck all! :toast:

 

[Born2Booze]

Savannah Sports


Professional Plays
Eric Degarde
MLB Baseball
3 (***) Kansas City -135 ..Early Game 2:05 EST
3 (***) LA Angels -135

 

[Born2Booze]

Rocketman

3* LA Angels

 

[cork999]

Craig Davis
Craig Davis Wednesday's Lineup
100 DIME ---- TIGERS (With Verlander) -1 1/2 RUN LINE over MARINERS (With Snell)

Well, here it is. I've been waiting for this matchup since last week when Justin Verlander dominated the Boston Red Sox IN Fenway. After a few shaky outings, Verlander was clearly back to his dominating self and I know he can't wait to get back home to give the Tigers fans their money's worth. You see, the last time he pithed at Comerica, Verlander was absolutely abused by the Minnesota Twins to the tune of seven hits and five earned runs over six innings of work. Final Score: Twins 11 Tigers 0 --- That is very rare air for Verlander and will not happen again this year. Prior to that Verlander also allowed five earned runs, but this time it was over 8 innings of work in a 6-5 win over Baltimore. The thing about that start is... all five of those earned runs came in a very rough first inning. After that, Verlander was light's out for seven innings and kept the Tigers in the game long enough to scratch out a 1-run win. Tonight won't be that close, and Verlander won't allow five runs in the whole game, let alone one inning.

The Tigers won in dramatic fashion last night, beating the Mariners despite a fantastic effort from Mariners starter Felix Hernandez. It was a 1-1 tie into the eighth inning when the Mariners added two runs in the top of the 9th to take a 3-1 lead. Detroit, however, proceeded to score four in the bottom of the 8th and walked away with a 5-3 win. You see, it's that type of game that plays right into our hands tonight. Seattle is physically and emotionally beaten down. They could ill-afford to lose that game as it was one they had in the bag going to the bottom of that inning. Though they are three games over .500, they are way behind the Angels for the division lead and are losing any chance they have to get back into the Wild Card race. Detroit, on the other hand, is going to carry the momentum from that 8th inning over to the first few innings of tonight's contest. That win kept them three games ahead of the White Sox in the AL Central and really gave them confidence and momentum for the rest of this series. Think about this... Rick Porcello was able to hold the Mariners to just one run over 5 2/3 innings of work... how much more do you think a guy like Justin Verlander can do to this struggling offense?

Seattle has scored three or fewer runs in six of their last seven games and now face possibly the best pitcher they've seen since their series with the Yankees (Sabathia and Burnett shut them down). Verlander's career numbers vs. Seattle are quite good, including a 6-2 record in 8 starts, a 3.35 ERA and a 1.25 WHIP. In fact, in those eight games Verlander has surrendered just one home run, and that spans 54 innings. At home this season, Verlander has been virtually untouchable (and unbeatable), posting a very respectable 2.11 ERA, 1.08 WHIP and opponents are hitting barely over .200 against him at Comerica. His record is 7-1, with the lone loss coming in his last start vs. Minnesota. This guy is a gamer and you can bet he's out to do better than he did in his last start vs. Boston just to prove to the fans of the Motor City just how good he is.

For Seattle, they run out recently-acquired righty Ian Snell, formerly of the Pittsburgh Pirates, in an attempt to steal a game from the Tigers to keep their slim playoff chances alive. So, what can we say about Snell other than the fact he stinks and will likely be without a job at the end of the year. He was so bad in Pittsburgh (2-8, 5.36 ERA) that they allowed Seattle to acquire his services (along with Jack Wilson) for a handful of prospects. Since pitching for Seattle, Snell has allowed 13 earned runs in 13.1 innings pitched for an ERA just slightly under 9. Control has been his biggest problem, walking 12 batters in those 13.1 innings since joining the Mariners, including 6 in 1.1 innings vs. the Rays. His three starts in the American League have all resulted in at least two-run Seattle losses (including 11-1 to the Yankees and 10-4 to Tampa) and tonight will be no different. He's 0-2 in his career vs. the Tigers and has won just two games in 18 starts this year... TWO!!! What's to make me think tonight will be any different? And get this... pitching coach Rick Adair is working with his delivery to "tweak" how soon he gets the ball out of his glove ready to throw in an attempt to help his control. Do you know what that does? That kills velocity... and that's not something you want to do against a home run hitting lineup like Detroit. I love it when I go against a pitcher who's in the process of messing with his mechanics... that means if he begins to struggle with these new mechanics, he's going to be playing mind games with himself as to whether or not he should go back to his old style of pitching. It honestly couldn't play out any more perfect for our side.

Back to Justin Verlander... he's not only trying to prove to the Tigers fans that his last home outing was a fluke, he's also gunning for 200 strikeouts in this game (currently sits at 194) so there's even extra motivation for him to get the job done. The Tigers are 10-1 in Verlander's last 11 starts as a big favorite (-200 or better), 15-6 in his last 21 starts vs. the AL West and 22-8 in their last 30 at home vs. a team with a winning record. Folks, this one is over before it starts. Verlander will not only dominate the first inning, he'll dominate the entire game and with Monday's day off, he could go the entire 9 innings. Tigers in a laugher, 9-2.



BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS